With the primary elections around the corner, presidential hopefuls are winding down their campaigns with final rallies over the next few days.
Though they primarily serve to designate each parties’ presidential candidates, the primaries also work as a political thermometer measuring the electorate’s political leanings, which may show Argentines will vote on October 27.
(The primaries also list out gubernatorial candidates, among others, but I won’t tell you about them in this article because they’re endless and you probably want to get on with your life. Let’s just say Buenos Aires Province voters will find themselves in front of a ballot in which they’ll have to pick candidates for EIGHT different offices.)
So, after many interviews, speeches and baby-kissing sprees, 13 hopefuls representing 10 different political parties or alliances will face their first test in the race for the presidential staff. To be able to compete in October’s general elections, candidates have to get over 1.5 percent of votes and beat their party/alliance’s contender, if there is one.
Let’s see what the main candidates have planned before campaigns officially come to a close.
The FpV candidate will give a speech tomorrow at Tecnópolis, right outside BA City, at 7 PM. To kill time, attendees are invited to play every Kirchnerite kid’s favorite game, “Fuera Buitres.” You know, the Kirchnerite version of Angry Birds where you get to kick money-thirsty vultures out of the country by throwing political plans at them, such as “Procrear” or the “Sube” card, because apparently you can get the vultures into a colectivo to drive their claims away.
After Florencio Randazzo dropped his bid (/was instructed to do so), the Buenos Aires Province governor is the only presidential hopeful in the Victory Front’s run. Scioli, who is supported by the ruling party and its big boss, President Cristina Kirchner, leads every poll with varied differences over his immediate pursuer, Mauricio Macri. So it looks like unless a biblical plague in which God kills every Kirchnerite in the country and passes over the opposition occurs, he’ll get the most votes on Sunday.
MAURICIO MACRI AND THE CAMBIEMOS ALLIANCE
Mauricio Macri, on the other hand, will close his campaign with a low profile. The presidential hopeful representing the PRO party in the Cambiemos Alliance has scheduled a meeting with partisan “Fiscales,” in charge of making sure his party doesn’t get ripped off in the ballot recount.
The BA City mayor has managed to position himself as the opposition’s main alternative, and it’s pretty much a given that he will beat Radical’s Ernesto Sanz and Civic Coalition’s Elisa “Lilita” Carrió, his contenders in Sunday’s primaries. However, these past few weeks have been pretty rough for Macri, who’s lost some of his dancing spunk after his party lost its historic stronghold on the city when Martín Lousteau came close to beating him in the polls. This Kirchnerite-sounding speech didn’t go over well, either.
Meanwhile, Sanz will be at the Museum boliche in San Telmo for his last official rally and Carrió at the Palais Rouge ballroom in Palermo.
MASSA AND DE LA SOTA (A NEW ALTERNATIVE)
The candidate for A New Alternative (UNA, in Spanish) decided to finish his campaign with a bang. No, really. The Argentinos Juniors microestadio will host the Tigres mayor’s last arenga to his voters.
After a resounding victory in the 2013 legislative elections, Massa’s political power has slowly decayed. Right now, the polls place him third, far from the two candidates who have polarized the elections.
On the other side of the UNA pitch, Córdoba native José Manuel de la Sota has organized a good old political caravan for today, where he’ll stand on a bus, kiss babies and shake hands through several cities of the greater Buenos Aires area. His closing rally will take place tomorrow in his native province.
Several consultants have tried to determine the outcome of Sunday’s elections. Even though the results fluctuate, all polls have concluded Daniel Scioli is the candidate to beat. Even Macri has acknowledged he’ll run from behind, his goal being to turn things around in the runoff: [The ruling party] says they’ll get a ten-point difference. We’ll see, there’s not much time left. August 9 will show those who want a change in Argentina are the majority,” assured the presidential hopeful.
So what are the polls’ exact numbers four days from the elections? El Destape web got them all together.
De la Sota 6.6%
Management & Fit:
All results appear to conclude that Scioli has a solid lead. However, he’s still a couple of points short from the required 40 percent, along with a 10 percent difference over his competitors, that would see him president in the first round. The candidates will face their first test on Sunday. Let’s see how they do.